TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No73c16,030$11,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,328.078241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c15,234$10,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,241.546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c11,912$8,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,373.12,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c7,406$5,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.566446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes29c6,324$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.8538043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No72c5,573$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.1312956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes26c5,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3204540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Yes33c4,999$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.71040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No74c4,100$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0662948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002035%7 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3bc…ec33backed Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes29c2,959$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.920462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed No70c2,738$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.841090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c2,623$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.8333851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No71c2,530$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.759159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes27c2,500$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6853836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c2,352$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.5629846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccc…c862backed Yes28c2,232$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes31c2,050$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64140222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes26c2,021$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.320343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No68c1,798$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.2839746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No73c1,790$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.422948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c1,776$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.7158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes28c1,668$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.364555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb960…8c47backed Yes30c1,425$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes28c1,393$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Yes28c1,379$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.092552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No73c1,363$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36817853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No70c1,357$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.8623247.4%110 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes26c1,346$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf70a…541dbacked Yes28c1,318$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes28c1,252$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507429.7%22 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No74c1,200$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31212338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2315…f55bbacked Yes26c1,131$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c1,107$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.241,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed No72c1,100$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be2…5fa6backed Yes11c1,100$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126850%4 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+152.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No73c1,082$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.1316853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No68c1,080$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.424355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes29c1,047$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Yes29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-48.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes29c1,001$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8124047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…66a1backed No73c985.38$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No69c967.81$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3637544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked Yes27c887.14$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.54643.5%20 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes27c851.85$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c41…3f93backed Yes24c843.03$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No72c839.37$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.2834342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No72c774.09$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6910744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9711…c35ebacked Yes4c769.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd923…aed5backed Yes32c760.08$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No71c752.32$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.74254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No73c734.87$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.874062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes27c733.33$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1987652.6%40 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes28c715.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Yes27c688$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.761656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e2…c86fbacked Yes30c667.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes30c622.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.862138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x720b…d2cdbacked Yes29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes27c538.82$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.482263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+67.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes26c530.77$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383850%19 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes27c518.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f47…fb9ebacked Yes32c512.47$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Yes27c507.24$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.742152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b99…bad3backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-63.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked No73c490.08$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes28c490$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.216136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373c…2456backed No73c475$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1091…a259backed Yes28c460$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes33c448.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes32c443.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402536%9 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No72c428$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11913048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc20…f00dbacked Yes27c399.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes33c396.42$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.822254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes27c392.45$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058543.5%37 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf3…213abacked Yes26c384$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-63.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68e…663cbacked Yes27c378$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.061241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa92…5899backed Yes27c376.85$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+101.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dde…af75backed Yes27c370.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc64a…74c0backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Yes27c368$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.363040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes28c367.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214145.4%64 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Yes27c366.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid+51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes28c361$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…fe7ebacked Yes16c357.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…d7c9backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d9…34e9backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No68c342.65$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.