TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1e2…c86f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$25.52
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$55.23
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$42.2
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+42.7%+$8.54
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$73.58
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.25
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.29
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$87.99
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+39.1%+$118.9
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+29.5%+$14.76
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$189
Brevis FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.98
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100.06
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+122.2%+$29.76
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$64.26
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sparta Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$135.51
Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$106.25
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.87
SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+203%+$203.03
SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$54.21
Will Kocaelispor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.52
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-82.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.09
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$133.53
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$23.27
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Solana reach $150 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$39.99
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$127.88
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$99.98
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$60.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$83.28
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.4
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+132.6%+$52.82
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+96.6%+$96.58
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150.7%+$30.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$38.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$63.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$266.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.