Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1526fcb3f05c468105b8f54eb34b6923b80437a340c0a5ab607a2c63bde6feaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 3,385$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.02 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 66c | 1,977$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.6 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 40c | 505$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 53c | 366$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 70c | 360.52$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.35 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 42c | 270.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…4f97backed Over | 71c | 119.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 70c | 112$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 70c | 105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b99…bad3backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 29c | 85.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 70c | 83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 19c | 77.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 32c | 65.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Under | 57c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 36c | 56.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 30c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Over | 51c | 38.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 60c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5this page
- SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.