Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecb6f7c4f22a9939b6a9dabf5bdde9072c783f5281fa7b8c4457163dc9c0495c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdef9…2d16backed Under | 49c | 9,459$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,608.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 3,314$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.66 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 52c | 1,638$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.23 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 1,516$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.59 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Over | 50c | 1,514$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 1,301$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.38 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 948.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.28 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 52c | 823.08$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.82 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 49c | 489.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.32 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…7661backed Over | 52c | 433$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Under | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 220.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 49c | 204.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 52c | 199.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…0591backed Over | 51c | 196.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 48c | 166$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Under | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 39c | 132$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 75c | 130.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 54c | 83.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 59.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…11d2backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +60%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 24.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8fe3backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +79%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5this page
- SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.