Champions League · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x299e9c12169dd19eee210fa2e26679766fe0228795a33c63232d70aaba0e15ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 10,102$7,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.63 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 17c | 7,259$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.44 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under | 70c | 1,154$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over | 28c | 1,057$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.67 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 68c | 882.79$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Under | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Under | 34c | 705.88$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.88 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Under | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 538.89$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.28 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 34c | 444$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 36c | 425.31$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Under | 34c | 302.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.94 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…f00dbacked Under | 34c | 299.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 68c | 259.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 251.86$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 64c | 238.57$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…74c0backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 18c | 187.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Under | 34c | 118.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 67c | 115.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over | 66c | 113.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 65c | 106.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Under | 37c | 94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 43c | 89.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d0…a022backed Over | 47c | 81.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 27c | 57.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…cacebacked Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…3366backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 67c | 44.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Over | 48c | 38.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Under | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 33c | 30.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 77c | 24.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…d731backed Over | 51c | 21.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…a8bebacked Over | 51c | 21.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…0b9fbacked Over | 64c | 18.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Over | 67c | 17.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…763dbacked Over | 64c | 16.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.