Champions League · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ceb0c0de107432b174f4152e3007321b56e815b45cae5b16ca67a8d725324ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 6,189$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.48 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked Under | 51c | 2,879$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 43c | 2,683$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.02 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Under | 68c | 2,195$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 64c | 1,255$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 969.36$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.17 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Under | 47c | 663.69$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over | 52c | 527.62$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 14c | 443.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 384.26$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 374.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 65c | 313.03$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 69c | 289.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 77c | 259.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 16c | 191$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…f00dbacked Over | 50c | 179.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 15c | 143.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 124.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 60c | 110.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 70c | 100.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 92.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…f4e8backed Under | 41c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 51c | 57.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47f…c246backed Over | 63c | 49.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Over | 43c | 35.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 77c | 27.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…349cbacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under | 61c | 24.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.