Champions League · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0dbc9c77d0588dee3ffb6e5152d3f483ce753de12bed35994c8972e4dbe2a1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 32c | 6,488$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.66 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 4,551$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.74 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 22c | 3,498$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.57 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Under | 56c | 1,363$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 74c | 731.08$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.08 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b99…bad3backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 55c | 443.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.79 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 56c | 349.25$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.67 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 310$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 45c | 309.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 55c | 273$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 45c | 237.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 54c | 195.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7365backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…aa78backed Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Under | 77c | 142.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 54c | 139$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…74c0backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 45c | 94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 22c | 91.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Under | 56c | 89.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 44c | 73.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Under | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 46c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 43c | 68.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Under | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee30…bcc3backed Under | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Under | 57c | 38.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 72c | 14.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.