Champions League · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x632c4f84f1ec90a14b687a93eb24856fd185e8f556f2da87e18363a403de3817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galatasaray SKof AS Monaco FC, Galatasaray SK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked AS Monaco FC | 29c | 16,038$4,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.76 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Galatasaray SK | 75c | 11,448$8,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.53 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Galatasaray SK | 73c | 6,664$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.27 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed AS Monaco FC | 22c | 4,623$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.18 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Galatasaray SK | 76c | 1,178$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.97 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Galatasaray SK | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Galatasaray SK | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Galatasaray SK | 72c | 171$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked AS Monaco FC | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Galatasaray SK | 71c | 137.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Galatasaray SK | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Galatasaray SK | 72c | 114$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Galatasaray SK | 72c | 103$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed AS Monaco FC | 20c | 102.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed AS Monaco FC | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…3389backed AS Monaco FC | 31c | 97.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed AS Monaco FC | 28c | 88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed AS Monaco FC | 28c | 83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…31a8backed Galatasaray SK | 72c | 82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed AS Monaco FC | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed AS Monaco FC | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Galatasaray SK | 74c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked AS Monaco FC | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Galatasaray SK | 74c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed AS Monaco FC | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Galatasaray SK | 76c | 37.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed AS Monaco FC | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galatasaray SK | 71c | 30.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Galatasaray SK | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Galatasaray SK | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Galatasaray SK | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.