Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x434c7307385052d60e7accc14b780e81a6c29d2cf232d423473eec36318367ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.97 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 46c | 4,082$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.65 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 51c | 3,947$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.5 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 2,390$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.9 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 54c | 2,388$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.62 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 2,328$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.14 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 2,091$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 56c | 1,000$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 56c | 606$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.65 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 47c | 586.52$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 54c | 570.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.08 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 501.18$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over | 59c | 330.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 71c | 291.21$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.41 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 248$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.30per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 184.03$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 55c | 147$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Over | 55c | 135$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 55c | 125.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 55c | 125.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 46c | 125.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 59c | 117.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 59c | 116$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 31c | 112.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 67c | 104.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 36c | 76.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 54c | 74.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 46c | 74.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 47c | 65.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 57c | 53.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 44c | 49.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 34c | 49.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Over | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…7e29backed Over | 44c | 43.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 56c | 43.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…d3cfbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Under | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Over | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Under | 49c | 30.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Over | 55c | 28.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Under | 56c | 26.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 45c | 26.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 54c | 26.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 54c | 24.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.