Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1fbff8bbdf7fd94212c678d5fdf0f74e6a67cf9cc2fcdf659e690a23882128a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 79c | 7,263$5,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716.05 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 6,291$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 78c | 4,517$3,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.21 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 2,373$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 19c | 1,250$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 24c | 1,106$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.56 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 71c | 424.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096d…af80backed Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 24c | 257.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 31c | 244.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.30per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 157.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 55c | 130$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 47c | 97.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 68c | 81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 16c | 73.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 73c | 69.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 79c | 63.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 22c | 62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 32c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 33c | 30.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 80c | 21.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 77cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.