Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd41248a294d83726e65e5a8c0fe572af98c670e85f3518085e0c4d4ae270f306
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 36c | 3,451$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.85 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 65c | 2,843$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 27c | 2,783$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.95 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 79c | 1,911$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.31 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 770.42$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.42 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 395.33$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 279.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 78c | 171$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 78c | 162$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 68c | 160.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 78c | 149$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 18c | 118$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Over | 78c | 83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 22c | 81.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 21c | 65.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 73c | 63.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Under | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…7a69backed Over | 65c | 18.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.