TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c10,020$3,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,220.683,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over68c7,308$4,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.561181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under41c5,814$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.6510553.3%56 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.998752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under21c3,108$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.375142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under44c2,499$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over58c2,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.838068.8%55 W · 25 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Over61c1,033$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over59c1,011$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.38846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005940.7%24 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…892cbacked Over61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3905100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under24c908.17$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.355729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32022747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under40c630.53$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1151136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under30c538$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.621127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-60.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over68c443.13$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.88955.1%49 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.183455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over71c400.06$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0212951.2%66 W · 63 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over60c301.55$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.624658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over74c290.65$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5748658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.53688.9%32 W · 4 L+8.1wins+0.23per pick66cpaid+31.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Under41c216.49$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.76933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2303…b9a7backed Under41c216.32$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.69850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over60c209.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under23c202.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.455623.2%13 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Over70c200.47$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.14887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+80.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Under42c196.53$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over57c180.7$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.711748.7%57 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Over60c177$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over58c174.94$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4333340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over61c160.82$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.485853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Under17c160$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f50…d342backed Under24c142.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Over60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under17c122.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1538151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.691136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Over59c119$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.792250%11 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under42c115.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.537344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under40c114.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.851030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Over60c111.67$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Over63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.114452.3%23 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c3a6backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Under42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Over59c91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.311560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafca…2501backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3312069.2%83 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under41c81.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.918551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x396d…2fd2backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over71c77.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.923571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under34c77.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.061,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over61c77.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.053161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+41.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over65c76.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over62c72.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3610863%68 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over60c70.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2513073.1%95 W · 35 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.310454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under27c69.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under40c69.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.596251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.977753.2%41 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Over59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b3…5c29backed Over61c65.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over75c64.4$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413852.2%72 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over71c52.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.127335.6%26 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Over59c52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.321861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Under29c49.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.492218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-69%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.134655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3711060%66 W · 44 L+13.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under41c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.223324.2%8 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0ce…ba12backed Over60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Over61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.985768.4%39 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108660.5%52 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Under41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab1…b7d7backed Over70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca65…6746backed Under41c39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under41c37.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3611036.4%40 W · 70 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over61c36.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.126851.5%35 W · 33 L+10.9wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x847c…9d31backed Under41c35.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.691050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d1…a358backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889d…e36bbacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.483366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Under41c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.96058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39ea…bb3fbacked Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.892576%19 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792785.2%23 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick69cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7916750.9%85 W · 82 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38dd…ffb3backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked Under41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under40c31.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked Under41c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…fb93backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1926…b195backed Over60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0544749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over67c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Under41c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.