Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c74f7184c3d48c87361bb6a66f5bf0726535e9c282eacc519d1f999a54672a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Frankfurtof BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, Eintracht Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 76c | 7,007$5,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 3,134$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 21c | 2,124$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.57 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 75c | 1,906$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 25c | 1,249$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.64 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 750.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 73c | 730.82$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.29 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 43c | 660$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 73c | 521.61$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 73c | 437.95$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 73c | 332.98$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 74c | 326$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 75c | 285.94$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 279$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 79c | 277$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 20c | 219.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 26c | 207.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…1e6bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 63c | 158.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 73c | 157.69$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 17c | 88.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 22c | 85.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda8c…47eabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6e…db70backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 16c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…5067backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 43c | 72.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ce…ba12backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -69%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 74c | 44.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…6680backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 73c | 33.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 79cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…576bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…d3b3backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 30.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 77c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…5f3bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 77c | 23.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 74c | 23.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 69c | 22.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 74c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 71c | 18.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…ed39backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…d613backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…9851backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…5d0abacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…e67dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.