TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc80…576b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick78cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+25%+$5
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Adelaide International: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.61
Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Australian Open Men's: Elmer Moeller vs Marc Polmansbacked Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Hobart International: Renata Zarazua vs Hailey Baptistebacked Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.78
Australian Open Men's: Dane Sweeny vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+33.8%+$6.83
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Hobart International, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parksbacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.26
Adelaide International, Qualification: Katie Swan vs Gabriela Rusebacked Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Adelaide International, Qualification: Ashlyn Krueger vs Dalma Galfibacked Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Brisbane International: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Brisbane International: Leylah Fernandez vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs megoshort (BO1)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+40.6%+$7.22
Counter-Strike: Voca vs NRG (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Devils vs. Wildbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.3%+$8.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)backed Cambridge United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.13
Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)backed Bristol City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VCU Rams vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+38.6%+$9.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.