Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International, Qualification: Ashlyn Krueger vs Dalma Galfi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15c14807aab5fc5aa13f385a5f39d807b3eed92bd663a172cb5cb7a30321712
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galfiof Krueger, Galfi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4393…849cbacked Krueger | 45c | 2,564$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Krueger | 61c | 2,485$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.9 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Krueger | 44c | 2,207$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.13 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Galfi | 61c | 1,772$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Galfi | 39c | 1,270$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.7 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Galfi | 34c | 1,068$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.87 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Galfi | 58c | 1,061$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.39 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Krueger | 40c | 1,005$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Galfi | 27c | 911.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.89 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Galfi | 45c | 910.44$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.74 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Krueger | 67c | 744.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.38 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Galfi | 60c | 691.4$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.91 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Krueger | 15c | 600$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Galfi | 47c | 547.53$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.32 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…7342backed Krueger | 66c | 531.97$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Krueger | 64c | 530.68$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.15 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Krueger | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Galfi | 65c | 414.41$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Krueger | 50c | 380.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.49 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Galfi | 32c | 309.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Galfi | 46c | 282.32$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Krueger | 42c | 260.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Krueger | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Krueger | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Galfi | 33c | 150.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Galfi | 32c | 127.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Galfi | 50c | 115.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Krueger | 71c | 105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Galfi | 17c | 101$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Krueger | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Galfi | 45c | 93.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Galfi | 23c | 91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Krueger | 62c | 87.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…77c6backed Krueger | 58c | 77.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Krueger | 23c | 69.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…9c06backed Krueger | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Galfi | 40c | 61.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Krueger | 54c | 59.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…f975backed Galfi | 76c | 56.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Krueger | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Krueger | 71c | 44.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Galfi | 56c | 44.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Galfi | 43c | 40.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…d209backed Krueger | 32c | 40.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…6680backed Krueger | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Galfi | 35c | 34.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…576bbacked Krueger | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 78cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…f1eebacked Galfi | 40c | 33.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Krueger | 60c | 33.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Galfi | 50c | 30.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…639ebacked Krueger | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…5f3bbacked Krueger | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…aa8ebacked Krueger | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Galfi | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…ebeabacked Krueger | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Krueger | 68c | 17.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.