TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4f6b…f1ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.98
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$35.66
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+106.5%+$13.01
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.56
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+198.4%+$27.21
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.06
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.25
Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.35
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+106.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$17.64
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.64
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$38.13
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+950.5%+$353.78
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+145.3%+$24.29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+60.9%+$8.12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+93.5%+$10.69
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.07
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$34.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+64.1%+$11.08
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37.62
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$34.77
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.77
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.06
All 5 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick20cpaid+453%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.24
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+45.9%+$10.5
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.63
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.8%+$15.87
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.77
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.42
Delaware State Hornets vs. Howard Bison: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+300%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+451.5%+$56.35
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+148.5%+$21.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$19.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+44.3%+$7.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.