Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x455a60e45298af06547e2e4c2dff12614781ab9036247b8ebf9b7879d7eecffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Fnatic, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FUT Esports | 33c | 6,308$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,232.88 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Fnatic | 80c | 5,437$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.42 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Fnatic | 64c | 1,911$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.9 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked FUT Esports | 43c | 1,762$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.37 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 1,684$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Fnatic | 56c | 1,204$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.55 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…d57dbacked Fnatic | 72c | 873.06$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.84 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Fnatic | 57c | 868.45$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.89 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed FUT Esports | 13c | 828.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.82 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed FUT Esports | 7c | 754$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.22 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic | 59c | 608.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.25 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked FUT Esports | 29c | 414.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.79 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed FUT Esports | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed FUT Esports | 17c | 387.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed FUT Esports | 22c | 334.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.58 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed FUT Esports | 9c | 323.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +533.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Fnatic | 64c | 267.75$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…0849backed FUT Esports | 29c | 234.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Fnatic | 57c | 230.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic | 76c | 177.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FUT Esports | 27c | 175$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Fnatic | 73c | 173.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Fnatic | 76c | 160$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FUT Esports | 25c | 150.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports | 20c | 143.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Fnatic | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FUT Esports | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Fnatic | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed FUT Esports | 18c | 86.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fnatic | 62c | 80.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…7212backed Fnatic | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…8c82backed FUT Esports | 16c | 70.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +325.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…f1eebacked FUT Esports | 18c | 68.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +300%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…e00fbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 64.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed FUT Esports | 30c | 58.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked FUT Esports | 34c | 58.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 56c | 49.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed FUT Esports | 21c | 48.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +95%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Fnatic | 71c | 28.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed FUT Esports | 61c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…c27fbacked Fnatic | 66c | 23.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…5ca1backed FUT Esports | 66c | 22.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…6498backed Fnatic | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed Fnatic | 61c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked Fnatic | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Series Fnatic Rounds Handicap (-5.5) vs FUT Esports (+5.5)Fnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.