CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Phoenix (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7722ca6db6ac584e341860466ce621611ce881f86f6f118748048017d087171
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Phoenix | 13c | 29,404$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.98 | 578 | 47.4%274 W · 304 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NRG | 79c | 10,132$7,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.92 | 3,262 | 50.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L | +97.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…edc9backed Phoenix | 9c | 5,494$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Phoenix | 1c | 4,006$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Phoenix | 11c | 1,238$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG | 80c | 814.32$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 2,816 | 37.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L | -138.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Phoenix | 12c | 682.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed NRG | 79c | 618.3$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Phoenix | 23c | 506.3$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Phoenix | 25c | 419$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Phoenix | 21c | 350$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Phoenix | 10c | 340$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…520cbacked Phoenix | 10c | 331.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Phoenix | 17c | 286.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Phoenix | 28c | 281.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 618 | 38.2%236 W · 382 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Phoenix | 22c | 228.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Phoenix | 54c | 186.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…e52cbacked Phoenix | 30c | 169.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Phoenix | 21c | 156.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Phoenix | 10c | 146.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed NRG | 78c | 139.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…50efbacked Phoenix | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed Phoenix | 21c | 125.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed NRG | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Phoenix | 17c | 118.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Phoenix | 19c | 108.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 604 | 3%18 W · 586 L | -224.1wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Phoenix | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…81c4backed NRG | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Phoenix | 12c | 99.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Phoenix | 20c | 96.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…aa48backed NRG | 43c | 81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…f1eebacked Phoenix | 14c | 78.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…be9cbacked Phoenix | 46c | 74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked NRG | 73c | 60.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed NRG | 76c | 53.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Phoenix | 25c | 52.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked NRG | 69c | 51.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed NRG | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…3022backed NRG | 47c | 35.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc022…3da2backed NRG | 71c | 35.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…3466backed NRG | 78c | 31.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed NRG | 67c | 30.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed NRG | 65c | 27.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…8811backed Phoenix | 72c | 26.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…2d5bbacked NRG | 79c | 25.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NRG | 57c | 20.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,550 | 33.9%525 W · 1,025 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked NRG | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked NRG | 80c | 16.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Phoenix (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerPhoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.