TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa05…e52c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$30.17
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+284.6%+$66.97
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.6
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.75
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.61
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.89
LoL: DRX Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$26.03
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.65
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.79
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$24.36
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+117.7%+$39.46
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.4
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Truck Drivers (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Truck Drivers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$23.32
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Phoenix (BO3)backed Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.