CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Truck Drivers (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x929e97ce7e0051cb329badf9e863f5b20bfabb1e0fbedf829d2005588480e8e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Truck Driversof MASONIC, Truck Drivers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed MASONIC | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.96 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…93aebacked Truck Drivers | 47c | 6,374$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MASONIC | 1c | 3,900$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Truck Drivers | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MASONIC | 48c | 1,955$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.39 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Truck Drivers | 46c | 1,243$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.38 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed MASONIC | 43c | 1,051$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.03 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Truck Drivers | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed MASONIC | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed MASONIC | 34c | 666.78$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.45 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…5173backed Truck Drivers | 62c | 643.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed Truck Drivers | 55c | 613.03$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.28 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Truck Drivers | 44c | 513.64$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.64 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Truck Drivers | 51c | 463$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.87 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Truck Drivers | 44c | 450.68$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.38 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…55aebacked MASONIC | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Truck Drivers | 43c | 348.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.92 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MASONIC | 51c | 272.45$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Truck Drivers | 44c | 254.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Truck Drivers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Truck Drivers | 41c | 189$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.51 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MASONIC | 59c | 189$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Truck Drivers | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed MASONIC | 57c | 179$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…edf4backed MASONIC | 60c | 156.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Truck Drivers | 44c | 144.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked MASONIC | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Truck Drivers | 60c | 124.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Truck Drivers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked MASONIC | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…eba7backed MASONIC | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed MASONIC | 47c | 60.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…fb01backed MASONIC | 28c | 57.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MASONIC | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…e52cbacked Truck Drivers | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MASONIC | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…ab3ebacked Truck Drivers | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2151…9e5fbacked MASONIC | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed Truck Drivers | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32db…b2dbbacked MASONIC | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Truck Drivers (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Truck Drivers - Map 1 WinnerTruck Drivers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.