CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc26113e924bf1360ec9934da42b452c08fa4456d95798e6196ba4e12e7af67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof Imperial, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed RED Canids | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.99 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Imperial | 65c | 4,413$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 57c | 1,714$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.75 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Imperial | 65c | 1,714$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.1 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed RED Canids | 69c | 1,482$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed RED Canids | 73c | 1,451$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.43 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed Imperial | 65c | 1,275$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Imperial | 65c | 1,249$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.05 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed RED Canids | 57c | 1,004$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.39 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…53d7backed RED Canids | 62c | 771.51$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.34 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked RED Canids | 34c | 529.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.41 | 522 | 36.8%192 W · 330 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Imperial | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Imperial | 66c | 471.44$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.15 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Imperial | 65c | 436.66$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.83 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Imperial | 65c | 403$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.02 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed RED Canids | 44c | 394.15$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.83 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Imperial | 62c | 324$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Imperial | 65c | 310$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Imperial | 65c | 309.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed RED Canids | 66c | 303.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked RED Canids | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RED Canids | 36c | 273$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Imperial | 40c | 259$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed RED Canids | 34c | 252$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Imperial | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked Imperial | 64c | 203.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Imperial | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0544backed Imperial | 65c | 199$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked RED Canids | 76c | 155$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaee…4229backed Imperial | 67c | 149.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Imperial | 36c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Imperial | 64c | 111$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6934…713abacked Imperial | 65c | 101$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Imperial | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Imperial | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Imperial | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed RED Canids | 30c | 92.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Imperial | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed Imperial | 31c | 70.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Imperial | 48c | 69.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked RED Canids | 58c | 59.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 377 | 59.7%225 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked RED Canids | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Imperial | 61c | 47.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…e52cbacked Imperial | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Imperial | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Imperial | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Imperial | 52c | 37.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked RED Canids | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Imperial | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed RED Canids | 39c | 30.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked RED Canids | 42c | 30.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Imperial | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Imperial | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Imperial | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Imperial | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Imperial | 64c | 23.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Imperial | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…9657backed RED Canids | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs RED Canids - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs RED Canids - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.