TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Miami vs. Indiana

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indianaof Miami, Indiana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,545,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,085,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,545,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Indiana75c1,001,202$747,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253,212.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Indiana74c985,985$729,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256,356.064163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Miami26c790,333$202,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,383.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Miami25c645,088$162,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,765.221936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa41…a7a1backed Indiana75c549,522$411,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,543.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Miami26c514,000$133,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,6407846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami26c476,533$123,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,898.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Miami25c327,301$82,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,174.5752449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4cbf…6cf0backed Indiana74c303,400$224,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,883.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Miami23c299,344$67,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,952.6916234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Miami25c258,153$64,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,538.212250%11 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Miami24c252,808$60,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,941.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Indiana74c232,499$172,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,449.843275%24 W · 8 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Miami25c205,421$51,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,497.642528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Indiana73c172,624$126,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,882.235064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Miami25c160,103$40,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,325.911618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-63.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Miami14c128,597$17,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,487.5819842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Indiana74c125,311$92,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,358.2621055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Miami18c125,000$22,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,250850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Miami21c122,540$25,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,135.8813933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Indiana75c119,302$89,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,825.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Miami25c119,228$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Miami26c87,817$22,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,832.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Indiana75c86,151$64,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,537.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Miami13c81,000$10,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5301717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Miami26c74,047$19,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,252.2211849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8758…add7backed Miami26c68,000$17,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,599.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Indiana74c66,340$48,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,379.095957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Miami6c60,336$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,863.654841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Miami25c60,014$15,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,003.443056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b6…f090backed Indiana75c56,833$42,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,208.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Indiana77c50,990$39,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,706.886838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Miami26c50,709$13,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,184.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-72%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Indiana74c48,279$35,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,3221546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Indiana75c47,793$35,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,948.253036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-40.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Miami20c47,505$9,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,684.485750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Miami20c40,901$8,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,322.414551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Indiana75c40,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0009750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Miami26c40,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4008948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Indiana74c39,975$29,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,393.531080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Miami25c39,200$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80010848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Indiana75c38,956$29,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,739475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Indiana75c38,750$29,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,517.223658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Miami26c38,686$10,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,058.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Miami26c38,644$10,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,047.5332745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Miami26c34,211$8,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,808.365238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Miami25c30,746$7,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,686.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Miami25c30,183$7,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,545.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Indiana75c30,000$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5006046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Miami1c30,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d19…733abacked Indiana74c29,589$21,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,633.851145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Miami21c29,444$6,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,173.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Miami25c26,906$6,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,854.692,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Indiana75c26,624$19,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Miami26c25,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,500520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Indiana73c25,000$18,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,749.999540%38 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Miami20c25,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9912746.5%59 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Indiana74c24,241$17,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,302.621369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b29…9108backed Miami21c23,985$5,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,08310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miami19c23,872$4,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,641.7662843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami25c22,949$5,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,707.7752641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7671…7244backed Indiana75c21,438$16,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,360.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6352…6726backed Indiana74c20,374$15,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,297.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd2…31f4backed Indiana75c20,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Miami25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Indiana74c20,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Miami26c20,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.913158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Miami26c19,616$5,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,103.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Miami26c19,231$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe099…9fc3backed Miami26c19,221$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Miami23c18,980$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+55%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6e7…65abbacked Miami27c18,525$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Miami26c16,485$4,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,28610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Miami5c16,041$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Miami25c15,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f86…9240backed Miami27c14,998$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,99210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Miami26c14,747$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.244151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Indiana79c14,614$11,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.9620450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ee…f5c6backed Indiana79c14,205$11,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,983.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4f…814fbacked Miami28c13,859$3,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc153…6c8bbacked Indiana74c13,749$10,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,574.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Miami26c13,500$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,51020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Miami23c13,107$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Miami26c13,000$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,38010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Indiana76c12,925$9,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.36785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+58%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62e5…a929backed Miami25c12,838$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,262.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Miami26c12,488$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Indiana75c12,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Miami25c12,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003030%9 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Indiana75c11,270$8,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dba…f874backed Indiana75c11,225$8,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Indiana75c10,667$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.671361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Indiana76c10,581$8,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,542.217946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Indiana74c10,005$7,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.881172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Indiana75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4cf…a9acbacked Miami1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba9e…57efbacked Miami1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Indiana73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Miami26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.972650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Indiana75c9,660$7,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.