TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

O/U 48.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d8a…e842backed Under56c18,370$10,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,095560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over45c10,235$4,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,568.6952449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over44c9,916$4,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,359.6548546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over31c7,726$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.984841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over45c7,543$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,394.8340%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under55c6,454$3,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.741936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over9c5,025$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.25812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid+28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under56c4,801$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c4,486$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.2362843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Under52c3,500$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.481060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Under62c3,455$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.45565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over43c3,150$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36520450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under56c2,955$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.6317655.1%97 W · 79 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under55c2,949$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.312,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c2,624$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.7311849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over48c2,603$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.441172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Over8c2,206$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Under57c2,000$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.6321055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Over34c1,400$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under40c1,300$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Over25c1,234$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.03560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+269.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Over44c1,179$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.17520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over37c1,133$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.326244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Under59c796.61$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7551…b6b1backed Over9c791.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.361030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over44c700.05$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.027123.9%17 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Over43c698.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e17…f41ebacked Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b97…3241backed Over24c511.81$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over31c458.56$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.47825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a5…3958backed Over32c418.75$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over42c403.57$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.481040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b61…b7eabacked Over46c328.26$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe174…084ebacked Over12c320.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed Over8c300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13242244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+230.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under56c263.59$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.983641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…3667backed Under55c235.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Under72c187.14$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Under56c177.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…11d4backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.445100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under57c172$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.969051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over43c149.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.234240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over46c137.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.44757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under56c130.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.28875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.61145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…0460backed Under58c118.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Under59c111.86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Over45c111.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over12c106.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8926939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Under58c101.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.722560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under76c98.28$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.581844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Over42c98.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…451bbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x829b…0473backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c93.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.029444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Over46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9951…63d5backed Under57c89.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc923…5f12backed Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2110757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c5f…d727backed Under60c83.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over16c81.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3110850.9%55 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over25c79.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x884c…851fbacked Over44c79.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Over22c76.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe309…958dbacked Under57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f30…a479backed Over32c65.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb856…8fb6backed Under56c65.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Under80c62.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6b1…70e0backed Under56c57.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Over49c54.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over52c50.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Under58c50.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214055.7%78 W · 62 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Under56c49.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under62c47.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f55…bae8backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0edb…8260backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over43c43.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over42c43.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.15942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdafd…807fbacked Under58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da0…48f9backed Over44c40.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0580…0b90backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x291e…4b6abacked Under51c40.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa4…4b05backed Over43c39.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…5cacbacked Under59c38.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under55c38.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.867443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed Under60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94850%24 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Under56c26.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed1…efcbbacked Over43c26.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b0…8bc6backed Under56c21.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.