TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$354,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,750 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9249…4f16backed Over47c110,542$51,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,797.0610046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Under53c103,055$54,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,619.0932745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over46c83,000$38,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,82021055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under54c75,000$40,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,499.962040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Under54c33,826$18,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,2663951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over46c24,910$11,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,356.8320450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8003658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.986046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under54c11,697$6,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,316.295957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under53c11,111$5,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,888.834841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Under1c10,416$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.998629.1%25 W · 61 L+15.2wins+0.18per pick11cpaid+361.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over46c8,000$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3201050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c7,517$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,978.4248546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under1c7,496$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.462722.2%6 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick2cpaid+841.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c6,502$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,493.082,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under53c6,400$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd425…c024backed Under54c6,389$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,448.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a2…a9fabacked Under51c5,900$3,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a52…1b1ebacked Over49c5,100$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7002352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c4,934$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,525.231936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under55c4,842$2,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.14551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Over46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over46c4,347$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.3822750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c3,754$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.8558850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Under55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaae4…0b5dbacked Over49c3,550$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0376…ca32backed Under51c3,307$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6202458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17a5…b8c4backed Under51c2,750$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under9c2,197$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.933748.6%18 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick31cpaid+72.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb29…9224backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0403100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…5019backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd765…55e4backed Over46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over47c1,915$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Over46c1,833$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Under54c1,480$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…3494backed Over49c1,268$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Under54c1,255$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6489444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e27…ac7bbacked Over49c1,124$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under54c1,016$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under54c1,011$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.192552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over50c1,001$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.78922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-57.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55017837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32d5…59cebacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Over50c950.38$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.195339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x003a…ff7cbacked Over49c915$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Under54c893.52$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over46c773.91$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under40c757.82$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.24825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Over47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over46c697.26$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.527123.9%17 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under72c685$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.5626940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed Under55c654.55$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-72.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Over46c610$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf45…c508backed Over48c599.96$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Over47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d4b…1914backed Over49c528.31$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.24146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Over50c504$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b86…7899backed Under52c483.25$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under53c475.6$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.075851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92aa…f5afbacked Under52c462.19$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over46c459.96$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.538752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Under55c400.09$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under15c380.51$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018338.8%71 W · 112 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12c8…4d64backed Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2e…75eabacked Over44c353.37$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7533…285ebacked Over50c313.31$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc580…3de2backed Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a5…3958backed Over48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Over35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+269.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under54c299.7$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under54c292.35$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under54c280$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.256844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over46c275$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.671040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Under54c257.63$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1226846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Over51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…7accbacked Under52c227.13$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under54c226.03$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.069051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f7…2633backed Under55c224.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Over48c222$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.445137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5c8…7303backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5d…3f0abacked Under54c206.1$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.293351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe092…477cbacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f0…bf7dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe43b…f955backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Under54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812755.9%71 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over47c199.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.994240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.