Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbf5dbe74ebcf54743f0535e5e434ee21f790b26e5efaee798cb8726455702b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof LOUD, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed LOUD | 51c | 8,852$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.76 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 2,987$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.11 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 2,341$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.29 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 1,744$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.41 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed LOUD | 31c | 1,700$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.98 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.97 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed LOUD | 51c | 1,369$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD | 41c | 1,369$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.58 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 1,354$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.94 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked LOUD | 38c | 1,317$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 1,257$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.81 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 1,252$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.27 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…1d7dbacked LOUD | 14c | 1,221$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 1,200$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.3 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 1,189$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.76 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…8ebcbacked LOUD | 30c | 1,113$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…a5c0backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed LOUD | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 999.99$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked LOUD | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked LOUD | 29c | 974.61$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.64 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…1f38backed LOUD | 28c | 946.82$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 887.37$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.51 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 805.41$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed LOUD | 30c | 749.91$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.97 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed LOUD | 39c | 726.63$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.58 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed LOUD | 30c | 689.04$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.71 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed LOUD | 7c | 620.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b1…e1b5backed LOUD | 3c | 599.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LOUD | 55c | 579.43$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.35 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 574.98$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked LOUD | 32c | 561.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 535.85$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.95 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed LOUD | 33c | 533$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked LOUD | 27c | 496.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked LOUD | 13c | 481.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 439.39$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bf…e852backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 431.86$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked LOUD | 11c | 347.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed LOUD | 46c | 322.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 311.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.93 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9395…1bffbacked LOUD | 51c | 306.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked LOUD | 18c | 306.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 304$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked LOUD | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed LOUD | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…780abacked LOUD | 33c | 284.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…d4ebbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 276.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…3888backed LOUD | 33c | 276.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed LOUD | 35c | 250.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacde…2f88backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 244.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 227.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed LOUD | 23c | 219.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 217.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed LOUD | 55c | 204.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked LOUD | 48c | 200.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed LOUD | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…d865backed LOUD | 44c | 194$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 192.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 191$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed LOUD | 17c | 189.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 188$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…e7a5backed LOUD | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 181.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 177.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f27…37b8backed LOUD | 13c | 172$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed LOUD | 21c | 168.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…d57dbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 140.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 132.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 130$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed LOUD | 30c | 123.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked LOUD | 33c | 122.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked LOUD | 38c | 120.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 116.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked LOUD | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…9f1bbacked LOUD | 30c | 99.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked LOUD | 54c | 94.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed LOUD | 34c | 91.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…42b4backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…aa44backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 79.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…41f3backed LOUD | 34c | 73.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…9173backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…2199backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…3840backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…a70dbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 63.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 62.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed LOUD | 30c | 57.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed LOUD | 44c | 56.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…1c4cbacked LOUD | 50c | 55.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 53.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…e52cbacked LOUD | 43c | 51.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerLOUD won
- Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.