TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Kings, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,645,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,666,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,645,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 836 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Jets47c563,542$263,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299,932.0220354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Kings53c353,874$187,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187,553.23053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Jets47c309,665$145,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,391.1415953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings53c185,462$98,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,653.2656152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Jets45c166,716$75,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,026.711,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings53c100,104$53,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,055.2638748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kings54c67,168$36,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,270.4548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Kings55c54,163$29,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,789.9239047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Kings53c47,698$25,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,279.768354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings54c46,547$25,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,222.461,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kings54c35,693$19,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,273.2356649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Kings55c32,446$17,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,684.316645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jets45c28,063$12,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,434.8347951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings53c24,514$12,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,992.422,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings54c21,334$11,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,554.951,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Kings55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Kings54c20,000$10,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,70030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets45c16,979$7,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,308.321,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Kings55c16,726$9,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,163.7728251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Jets46c10,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,439.993560%21 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings54c9,874$5,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,341.361,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Jets46c9,745$4,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,262.4333243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Kings53c9,500$5,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,03524945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Kings54c9,124$4,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,884.815349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kings54c9,100$4,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,89461748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Kings54c9,000$4,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,859.9730447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Jets46c8,696$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,695.6531654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Jets46c8,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,339.9729651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings0c7,631$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.781458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed Jets72c7,310$5,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.065969.5%41 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kings54c6,898$3,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,747.4320552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets46c6,500$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,509.911,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets47c6,242$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.061,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Kings53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.8514253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Kings55c5,909$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Kings54c5,555$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.713363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c5,386$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.992504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets78c5,252$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.7485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings35c5,221$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.942,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings54c5,205$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.722,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Kings54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7006640.9%27 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c3a…3bebbacked Kings27c5,000$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings43c4,778$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.711,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings54c4,500$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,43025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Jets46c4,400$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3765152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kings0c4,346$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3918520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jets47c4,151$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.0326058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings26c4,062$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.2238738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings55c3,801$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.8383149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Kings53c3,369$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.4416346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Kings54c3,344$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.9722852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings54c3,204$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.2961953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings53c3,177$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.551,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kings53c3,030$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.254047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Kings1c3,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings16c2,919$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.752,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…ef77backed Kings53c2,886$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea31…f286backed Jets46c2,882$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.271560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Jets47c2,700$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43122946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Kings54c2,622$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.881,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings15c2,548$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.711,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Kings54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35023751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4dd…67c8backed Jets46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings54c2,480$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.1397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee4…2156backed Jets47c2,428$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets65c2,398$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.4189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings21c2,320$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.311,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Kings55c2,049$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.9128853.1%153 W · 135 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Kings54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Kings55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1006656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Kings54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings54c1,904$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.221,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kings55c1,888$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf51…0501backed Kings54c1,807$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.681136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Kings13c1,788$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8343742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Jets45c1,780$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Jets54c1,722$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.184057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kings54c1,629$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.6784953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings54c1,500$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.51,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…1a14backed Kings53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3572…e3afbacked Jets47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15aa…edc8backed Jets47c1,498$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc8…0020backed Kings53c1,498$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.94650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x317a…44ddbacked Jets47c1,496$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffb8…e39cbacked Kings53c1,496$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8da9…c709backed Kings53c1,495$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2763…d107backed Kings53c1,495$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a71…904cbacked Jets47c1,495$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x749a…3e76backed Jets47c1,495$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1045…6d5dbacked Kings53c1,490$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d35…4b7ebacked Jets47c1,490$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf52b…09e3backed Kings53c1,487$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.11650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f3…a076backed Jets47c1,487$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3930…029ebacked Kings53c1,487$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…56b0backed Jets47c1,487$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3581…0f2dbacked Jets47c1,487$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c0…669bbacked Kings53c1,487$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.