TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Jets: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$729,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$729,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c544,692$271,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273,610.6220354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Under50c163,029$81,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,514.6516645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under50c120,000$60,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,0003053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,0001,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c100,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c95,737$46,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,51356152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over51c59,611$30,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,199.011,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over51c50,000$25,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,499.998354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c31,069$15,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,507.352,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under48c31,014$14,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,886.9415953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c21,284$10,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,693.191,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c11,000$5,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5551,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c9,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00011953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c7,799$3,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,903.772,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Over52c6,270$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.628353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c4,940$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.281,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c3,726$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.9583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Under51c2,820$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c2,562$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28161953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79517057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over52c1,001$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.1930855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over55c1,000$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.538445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Under48c902.53$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.062045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Over52c754$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…7b09backed Under49c754$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under51c750$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over52c650$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31276450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over50c617.91$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4211533.9%39 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over52c585$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7430349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over52c477.99$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4410667.9%72 W · 34 L+16.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505046%23 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over60c459$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5516738.9%65 W · 102 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under50c440.76$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.581,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70b…7a8abacked Under51c408.63$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fc…04aabacked Over52c407.69$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.691275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over47c401$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5323751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under15c399.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027334.4%94 W · 179 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6216056.3%90 W · 70 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over58c361$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.632,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…ee32backed Over52c330.77$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.772240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c327.85$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.572,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76c6…5a68backed Under49c295.41$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under47c290.13$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.361,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.771,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Over54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2210250%51 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.820446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4562447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9659950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3119353.9%104 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over49c184$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8412548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Under18c140$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.67640.8%31 W · 45 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Under42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Under51c118.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027652.2%144 W · 132 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Under49c112.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b6a…8071backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507055.7%39 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over73c98.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.421,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under53c96.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5149053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb378…ce53backed Under53c95.77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.76850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Under48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c87.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.481,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over51c79.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.310450%52 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2560141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2525435.4%90 W · 164 L-22.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under49c74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0947944.7%214 W · 265 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over51c68.15$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1449045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.66947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c59.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1189547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-75.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x04f2…bc84backed Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b2…f6c3backed Over51c47.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.322560%15 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Under52c40.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.84953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013743.1%59 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12bf…2174backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf67…be5bbacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3f…7fecbacked Over52c31.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.231764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Over42c29.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.182236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under51c26.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5735248%169 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over50c25.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79649%47 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Under51c24.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.613043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c24.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2478651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under53c23.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.384141.5%17 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Under52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Under51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.711428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-48.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb50f…f1d4backed Under49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.