NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f487e08b85800d0749a227096aa51e99285c99003e9b42cb75a37bcfabbd55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 39c | 4,055$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.72 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 61c | 2,430$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.39 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 61c | 2,147$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.06 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 40c | 868.33$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.33 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 61c | 622$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.58 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 38c | 499.47$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 419.61$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 22c | 199$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 61c | 145.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 60c | 124.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 53c | 124$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 118$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 75c | 108$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 54c | 95.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 39c | 89.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 62c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 39c | 53.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 41c | 51.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 61c | 49.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Over | 38c | 39.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 41c | 34.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…17b2backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 62c | 21.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Jets: O/U 6.5this page
- Kings vs. JetsJets won
- Kings vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.