Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9969e95f954d3087773626cb098fe59d615bdccbc549c984857c96d84554384d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $617,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $628,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 74c | 60,212$44,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,503.35 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 71c | 33,889$24,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,781.66 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 24c | 27,037$6,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,376.14 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 21c | 17,960$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,904$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 24c | 10,489$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.21 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 20c | 10,153$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.67 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1ceebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Yes | 1c | 9,922$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…5175backed Yes | 11c | 9,113$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 23c | 8,883$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.93 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…f8c1backed Yes | 1c | 7,973$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed Yes | 6c | 7,946$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.94 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 29c | 7,685$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.43 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6104…94e6backed Yes | 31c | 6,966$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…f63abacked No | 73c | 6,921$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,842$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes | 30c | 6,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…1cd7backed Yes | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…1e8abacked Yes | 21c | 5,982$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 5,750$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.53 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 5,681$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.06 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa765…ec70backed Yes | 37c | 4,880$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 4c | 4,149$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 1c | 3,026$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 65c | 3,024$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.29 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.76 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.14 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 28c | 2,882$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.5 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8c…0290backed Yes | 33c | 2,872$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…b54dbacked No | 75c | 2,558$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 32c | 2,423$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x491b…aa57backed Yes | 1c | 2,350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed No | 67c | 1,994$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…91a1backed Yes | 12c | 1,772$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed No | 75c | 1,638$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…c05cbacked No | 60c | 1,621$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 35c | 1,578$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.16 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 9c | 1,506$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.53 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…792bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,329$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…e51bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,293$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb8…3236backed Yes | 2c | 1,160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…319cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab5…bb25backed No | 63c | 1,105$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 1,087$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…fa16backed Yes | 35c | 999.79$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…e894backed Yes | 21c | 950.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…8f24backed Yes | 30c | 835.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…1acdbacked No | 62c | 812.63$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 9c | 801.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 53c | 709.63$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.53 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 533.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7c…4094backed Yes | 38c | 526.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…d6c1backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.05 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…e72ebacked Yes | 20c | 489.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56a…85d7backed No | 74c | 412.65$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…2151backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…b2f5backed Yes | 14c | 349.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…8cafbacked No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…9533backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…6810backed Yes | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed No | 71c | 314.36$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1a…642fbacked Yes | 32c | 304.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ff…5e17backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc842…922ebacked Yes | 11c | 290.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…782bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked Yes | 16c | 281.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97b1…5880backed Yes | 9c | 274.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55a…5cc5backed No | 61c | 270$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -8.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…01f2backed Yes | 47c | 246.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 75c | 240$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…5f5abacked Yes | 12c | 206.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3079…7b77backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…5292backed Yes | 27c | 186.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 172$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +210%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…a0a0backed No | 76c | 162.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c300backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…13f9backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…70e3backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…0507backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed No | 65c | 154.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…eb65backed No | 69c | 153$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…1131backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead9…836ebacked No | 73c | 145.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…c38cbacked Yes | 25c | 141.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 22c | 136.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…b5e1backed Yes | 9c | 132.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 31c | 130.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d33…065cbacked Yes | 37c | 126.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed No | 75c | 121.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 12-18?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 12-18?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.