Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f092320237fe16d8386b4291452d871ebeed89d5b10ee6333eb097ab64b25fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $925,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $862,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $925,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 78c | 99,604$77,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,317.67 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…15a8backed Yes | 26c | 43,750$11,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,474.84 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Yes | 14c | 30,034$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,076.66 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 24,600$12,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,388.74 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 23c | 24,253$5,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,573.01 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 46c | 14,806$6,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,043.41 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1ceebacked Yes | 1c | 13,100$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 36c | 12,037$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.34 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcf…5ee7backed No | 78c | 10,640$8,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb6…2454backed Yes | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 5c | 10,066$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,543.9 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 31c | 9,411$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.35 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 17c | 8,793$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.28 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,286$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 32c | 7,180$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.94 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 1c | 6,276$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 13c | 5,879$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.34 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…3f2ebacked No | 32c | 5,800$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 27c | 5,633$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 33c | 5,250$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.28 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 55c | 4,757$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.59 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 30c | 4,614$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.01 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…7f5bbacked No | 61c | 4,500$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.93 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 55c | 3,973$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.34 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b6…4c95backed Yes | 2c | 3,911$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Yes | 24c | 3,900$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +205.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd648…2badbacked Yes | 2c | 3,647$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…7607backed Yes | 10c | 3,633$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 33c | 3,476$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.71 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47b0…3b60backed Yes | 14c | 3,450$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 32c | 3,248$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.69 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…f63abacked No | 65c | 3,081$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e08…2ce9backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 2,960$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 2,848$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…a0a0backed Yes | 7c | 2,774$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…b164backed Yes | 4c | 2,642$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 19c | 2,562$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 16c | 2,535$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.09 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed No | 41c | 2,472$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.98 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…2fbabacked Yes | 3c | 2,453$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…fa16backed Yes | 67c | 2,300$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa142…375abacked No | 31c | 2,277$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Yes | 15c | 2,200$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed Yes | 38c | 2,188$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.12 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…da3cbacked Yes | 58c | 2,100$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 2,069$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…7b3bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…94e3backed Yes | 3c | 2,001$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 63c | 1,850$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 10c | 1,818$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.35 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…8b4bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,793$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…1cd7backed Yes | 19c | 1,784$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed Yes | 13c | 1,777$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.74 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 5c | 1,507$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,496$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…c8d2backed Yes | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…2c28backed Yes | 1c | 1,334$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 72c | 1,217$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.01 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 21c | 1,202$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.65 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad95…0724backed Yes | 9c | 1,049$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e15…7e90backed Yes | 1c | 1,014$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 1,005$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…7984backed Yes | 1c | 1,001$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…2b89backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…792bbacked Yes | 2c | 944.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 71c | 919.61$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.61 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbb…151ebacked Yes | 2c | 877.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 8c | 844.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…9e81backed Yes | 6c | 839.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…61f2backed Yes | 2c | 807.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…23c7backed Yes | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…2cc1backed Yes | 4c | 789.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 21c | 786.72$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a9…10fdbacked Yes | 3c | 783$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…4a76backed Yes | 26c | 754.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…5ab1backed Yes | 7c | 741.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed No | 80c | 699.89$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked No | 12c | 678.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.94 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdd…d973backed Yes | 4c | 658.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.91 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afa…97dcbacked Yes | 8c | 592.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked No | 72c | 551.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.89 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -8.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 8c | 549.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c300backed No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 13c | 525$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 5c | 522.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7812…0924backed Yes | 10c | 513.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed No | 20c | 501.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e98…d70ebacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Yes | 10c | 499.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…c8a5backed Yes | 72c | 489.99$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 485.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…cbb7backed Yes | 6c | 482.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 5c | 480.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…8cafbacked No | 20c | 459.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.85 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 12-18?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 12-18?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 12-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.