Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d9caf5e54baa6fba7a548c6c800c2a97a4edb4e3711e1b908a3d1ea78c64f38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Mochizuki, Cerundolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Mochizuki | 47c | 28,964$13,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,539.6 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mochizuki | 23c | 28,593$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.99 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mochizuki | 16c | 23,034$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Mochizuki | 0c | 22,877$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cerundolo | 56c | 14,242$8,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,203.77 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mochizuki | 31c | 8,025$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.92 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cerundolo | 72c | 7,929$5,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.95 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Cerundolo | 55c | 5,783$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.3 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Mochizuki | 17c | 5,536$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Cerundolo | 57c | 4,916$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.56 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mochizuki | 15c | 4,888$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.41 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cerundolo | 51c | 4,853$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.93 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cerundolo | 46c | 3,572$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.32 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mochizuki | 20c | 3,398$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.67 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cerundolo | 73c | 2,931$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.69 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Mochizuki | 28c | 2,250$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mochizuki | 19c | 2,184$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.08 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Mochizuki | 38c | 2,080$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.19 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Cerundolo | 65c | 1,941$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.35 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mochizuki | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mochizuki | 54c | 1,579$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.55 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Cerundolo | 75c | 1,503$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.02 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…892cbacked Cerundolo | 44c | 1,502$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.08 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Cerundolo | 52c | 1,477$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.08 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cerundolo | 72c | 1,444$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.72 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mochizuki | 46c | 1,348$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Mochizuki | 23c | 1,307$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Cerundolo | 77c | 1,298$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Cerundolo | 77c | 1,132$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.05 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Cerundolo | 55c | 1,084$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.36 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Mochizuki | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Mochizuki | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mochizuki | 56c | 984.14$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.1 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Mochizuki | 12c | 900$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Mochizuki | 53c | 884.55$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Cerundolo | 59c | 862.68$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.43 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4393…849cbacked Cerundolo | 72c | 808.99$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Mochizuki | 29c | 733.83$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Cerundolo | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Cerundolo | 63c | 682.07$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.56 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Mochizuki | 30c | 671.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Mochizuki | 24c | 651.58$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Mochizuki | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed Mochizuki | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…753dbacked Cerundolo | 70c | 589.67$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Mochizuki | 47c | 567.89$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.66 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Cerundolo | 21c | 559.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.28 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Mochizuki | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Mochizuki | 4c | 518.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…304dbacked Cerundolo | 73c | 492.55$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Mochizuki | 55c | 490$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cerundolo | 41c | 486.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.17 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Cerundolo | 49c | 485.94$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.29 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed Mochizuki | 28c | 462.42$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Cerundolo | 48c | 450$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Mochizuki | 53c | 439.38$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cerundolo | 70c | 431.97$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…77c6backed Mochizuki | 15c | 417.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…70a1backed Mochizuki | 8c | 415.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Cerundolo | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Mochizuki | 11c | 372$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Mochizuki | 14c | 361.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c5afbacked Mochizuki | 49c | 358.82$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Mochizuki | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cerundolo | 68c | 356.52$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Mochizuki | 59c | 339.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Mochizuki | 43c | 338.86$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Mochizuki | 42c | 335.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…0fddbacked Cerundolo | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mochizuki | 47c | 320.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Cerundolo | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Cerundolo | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Cerundolo | 60c | 270.51$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…7342backed Cerundolo | 58c | 270$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Mochizuki | 10c | 269.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cerundolo | 65c | 264.83$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Mochizuki | 51c | 263.16$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mochizuki | 52c | 247$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mochizuki | 10c | 233$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Mochizuki | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Cerundolo | 73c | 219.25$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…e6a5backed Cerundolo | 74c | 216.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Mochizuki | 55c | 212.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Mochizuki | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Mochizuki | 7c | 210.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…33bdbacked Cerundolo | 69c | 207.76$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Mochizuki | 39c | 205.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…6d5cbacked Mochizuki | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Mochizuki | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Mochizuki | 40c | 198.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Cerundolo | 51c | 197.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…3945backed Cerundolo | 49c | 184.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…7864backed Mochizuki | 19c | 182.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a48dbacked Mochizuki | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Mochizuki | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…2cc3backed Cerundolo | 73c | 177.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Mochizuki | 7c | 175.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…e974backed Cerundolo | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Mochizuki | 59c | 171.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Cerundolo | 60c | 165.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Manuel Cerundolothis page
- Mochizuki vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Mochizuki vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Mochizuki vs. Cerundolo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Mochizuki vs. Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Mochizuki vs CerundoloCerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.