TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ASB Classic, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cerundoloof Mochizuki, Cerundolo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$295,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Mochizuki47c28,964$13,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,539.610444.2%46 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mochizuki23c28,593$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.992,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mochizuki16c23,034$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.288,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Mochizuki0c22,877$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.918713.8%12 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cerundolo56c14,242$8,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,203.776,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mochizuki31c8,025$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.922,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Cerundolo72c7,929$5,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.9515048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Cerundolo55c5,783$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.36432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Mochizuki17c5,536$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.141020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Cerundolo57c4,916$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.565349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mochizuki15c4,888$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.412,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cerundolo51c4,853$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.9315832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Cerundolo46c3,572$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.3225428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mochizuki20c3,398$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.672,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Cerundolo73c2,931$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.6931253.2%166 W · 146 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Mochizuki28c2,250$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63011123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mochizuki19c2,184$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.082,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Mochizuki38c2,080$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.199826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Cerundolo65c1,941$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.3558639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mochizuki28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Mochizuki54c1,579$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.555046%23 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Cerundolo75c1,503$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.023745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x710c…892cbacked Cerundolo44c1,502$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.081931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Cerundolo52c1,477$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.0859151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cerundolo72c1,444$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.721,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mochizuki46c1,348$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.1711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Mochizuki23c1,307$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Cerundolo77c1,298$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6514343.4%62 W · 81 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Cerundolo77c1,132$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.056250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Cerundolo55c1,084$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.3622337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Mochizuki54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Mochizuki14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14018740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mochizuki56c984.14$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.16,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Mochizuki12c900$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10613816.7%23 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Mochizuki53c884.55$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4736046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Cerundolo59c862.68$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.4319167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4393…849cbacked Cerundolo72c808.99$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Mochizuki29c733.83$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21211838.1%45 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Cerundolo52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…53b3backed Cerundolo63c682.07$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.567848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Mochizuki30c671.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Mochizuki24c651.58$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.619846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Mochizuki32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210551.4%54 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b2…ff45backed Mochizuki26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c8…753dbacked Cerundolo70c589.67$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-64.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Mochizuki47c567.89$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6647057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Cerundolo21c559.85$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.2810815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Mochizuki56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Mochizuki4c518.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7275748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b7…304dbacked Cerundolo73c492.55$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.99850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Mochizuki55c490$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.515646.8%73 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cerundolo41c486.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.1787251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Cerundolo49c485.94$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2925743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73d…80e7backed Mochizuki28c462.42$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.491546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Cerundolo48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23416133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Mochizuki53c439.38$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cerundolo70c431.97$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.411,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…77c6backed Mochizuki15c417.72$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a53…70a1backed Mochizuki8c415.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Cerundolo63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Mochizuki11c372$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.92825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Mochizuki14c361.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.683351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe758…c5afbacked Mochizuki49c358.82$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Mochizuki28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Cerundolo68c356.52$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7713844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Mochizuki59c339.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Mochizuki43c338.86$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7163247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Mochizuki42c335.07$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7322744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x396a…0fddbacked Cerundolo60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mochizuki47c320.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.777,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Cerundolo63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Cerundolo57c307.02$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0215560.6%94 W · 61 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Cerundolo60c270.51$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.611,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c84…7342backed Cerundolo58c270$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Mochizuki10c269.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8522236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Cerundolo65c264.83$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.494450%22 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Mochizuki51c263.16$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.894247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mochizuki52c247$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4434842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Mochizuki10c233$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3728139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Mochizuki44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2849…0cd8backed Cerundolo73c219.25$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.251070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f88…e6a5backed Cerundolo74c216.15$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Mochizuki55c212.73$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11713138.9%51 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Mochizuki52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Mochizuki7c210.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1760%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6177…33bdbacked Cerundolo69c207.76$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5744…9093backed Mochizuki39c205.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.484946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f2…6d5cbacked Mochizuki6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Mochizuki43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8531819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Mochizuki40c198.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.133438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Cerundolo51c197.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3573350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66eb…3945backed Cerundolo49c184.07$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0887…7864backed Mochizuki19c182.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234d…a48dbacked Mochizuki56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-60.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Mochizuki56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e2…2cc3backed Cerundolo73c177.66$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Mochizuki7c175.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.561565.8%9 W · 147 L-32.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x5a44…e974backed Cerundolo58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Mochizuki59c171.08$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9414060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Cerundolo60c165.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.653063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.