NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6e5550b0bc1fbec26cd8b569720fae105c3d1ea0d87c6b65a1ae5e95fa9829
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Capitals, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,626,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,622,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,626,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Predators | 46c | 510,559$234,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275,891.84 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Predators | 47c | 381,578$177,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,923.14 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Predators | 45c | 314,959$141,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173,227.35 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Capitals | 54c | 312,287$168,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,633.16 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Capitals | 54c | 294,653$159,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,172.68 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 54c | 209,493$112,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,443.01 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Capitals | 55c | 180,000$99,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,200 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 54c | 78,872$42,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,275.84 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Predators | 44c | 44,659$19,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,008.98 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Predators | 44c | 41,391$18,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,178.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Capitals | 56c | 36,370$20,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,367.24 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…d05dbacked Capitals | 0c | 36,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Capitals | 54c | 33,333$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.82 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 55c | 27,500$15,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,039.95 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Capitals | 55c | 24,444$13,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,344.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Predators | 49c | 23,372$11,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,919.65 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Capitals | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Capitals | 56c | 16,072$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Capitals | 55c | 14,545$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 55c | 11,000$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Capitals | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Capitals | 57c | 9,252$5,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.33 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Capitals | 53c | 8,148$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.36 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Capitals | 55c | 8,000$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Capitals | 54c | 7,777$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.58 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Capitals | 51c | 7,509$3,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Capitals | 57c | 7,000$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Predators | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.08 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Capitals | 31c | 6,749$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.15 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Predators | 42c | 6,500$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.92 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 53c | 6,021$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.96 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Predators | 44c | 5,568$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.35 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…e372backed Capitals | 55c | 5,456$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 54c | 5,300$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Predators | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Capitals | 54c | 5,000$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.96 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Predators | 49c | 4,483$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.16 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Predators | 43c | 4,048$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.36 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Capitals | 54c | 4,000$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Predators | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Predators | 44c | 3,934$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.04 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 56c | 3,900$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.95 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Capitals | 56c | 3,899$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.37 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Capitals | 55c | 3,894$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.9 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Capitals | 18c | 3,881$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.58 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…b24ebacked Predators | 45c | 3,510$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Capitals | 54c | 3,472$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Capitals | 54c | 3,135$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 56c | 3,040$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.3 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…67c8backed Capitals | 44c | 3,000$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 54c | 2,928$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.37 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Capitals | 54c | 2,843$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators | 44c | 2,816$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.69 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Capitals | 54c | 2,750$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Capitals | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Predators | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Capitals | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 56c | 2,500$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.12 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Predators | 56c | 2,324$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.46 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Predators | 44c | 2,274$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.22 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Capitals | 54c | 2,229$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.37 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Capitals | 58c | 2,150$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Capitals | 8c | 2,150$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Capitals | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…4ebcbacked Predators | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Capitals | 54c | 1,990$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.37 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Predators | 71c | 1,940$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.51 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Capitals | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Predators | 49c | 1,818$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.48 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Capitals | 20c | 1,795$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.73 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Capitals | 56c | 1,695$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 54c | 1,574$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.96 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Predators | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.98 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 46c | 1,473$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.79 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Predators | 76c | 1,366$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.73 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 50c | 1,344$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.03 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Capitals | 44c | 1,313$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.6 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Capitals | 50c | 1,264$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.1 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 56c | 1,260$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.71 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Predators | 42c | 1,169$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.01 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Capitals | 55c | 1,125$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.75 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Capitals | 29c | 1,074$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.95 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Capitals | 1c | 1,054$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Capitals | 55c | 1,050$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.31 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc04…f91abacked Predators | 44c | 1,001$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Capitals | 56c | 1,000$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.52 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Predators | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Capitals | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Capitals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Predators | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Predators | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Predators | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Capitals | 52c | 970.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.44 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f50…c6e1backed Capitals | 56c | 965.23$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Capitals | 47c | 958.82$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.04 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Capitals | 54c | 952.6$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.64 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Capitals | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Capitals | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Predatorsthis page
- Capitals vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.