NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb66e4b71c8a5a5579cec4b253f5482bb6bbafe32b564475a7119769a44dff1c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,141,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,301,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,141,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 36c | 130,950$47,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,874.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…52f5backed Grizzlies | 76c | 89,608$68,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 66c | 84,924$56,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,874.01 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 73,431$25,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,787.22 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Grizzlies | 75c | 67,657$50,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,624.2 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 66c | 61,240$40,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,663.55 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Grizzlies | 34c | 58,354$19,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,840.44 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 56,427$14,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,398.95 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 64c | 54,945$35,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,688.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Thunder | 71c | 47,071$33,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,622.12 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 29c | 38,759$11,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,432.06 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 28c | 37,229$10,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,799.8 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Grizzlies | 34c | 27,029$9,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,210.01 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Thunder | 21c | 24,225$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,161.54 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 20,761$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.92 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Grizzlies | 36c | 19,833$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.77 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Thunder | 49c | 19,285$9,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,901.16 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Thunder | 62c | 18,129$11,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,807.6 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 36c | 17,401$6,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,196.38 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Grizzlies | 34c | 16,867$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,734.76 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 19c | 16,217$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,209.33 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Grizzlies | 78c | 13,995$10,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,955.21 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder | 61c | 13,270$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,109.48 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 71c | 13,264$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,449.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Grizzlies | 40c | 12,813$5,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.1 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Grizzlies | 59c | 12,659$7,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420.58 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…7fa1backed Grizzlies | 24c | 12,449$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Thunder | 66c | 11,920$7,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 63c | 11,451$7,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.71 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 65c | 11,000$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.86 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Thunder | 64c | 10,938$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.5 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Grizzlies | 39c | 10,330$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.69 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Thunder | 63c | 10,001$6,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.52 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies | 37c | 9,008$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 38c | 8,368$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.9 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Thunder | 23c | 8,245$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,310.84 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 63c | 8,151$5,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.75 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Thunder | 19c | 7,729$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.57 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Grizzlies | 37c | 7,709$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.31 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Grizzlies | 41c | 7,513$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.02 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Grizzlies | 73c | 7,512$5,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 37c | 7,400$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 64c | 7,386$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.41 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…cb7bbacked Thunder | 63c | 7,257$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Thunder | 62c | 6,738$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.6 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbc…34d5backed Thunder | 14c | 6,658$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724.11 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Grizzlies | 35c | 6,651$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 35c | 6,600$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.11 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Grizzlies | 79c | 6,471$5,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,112.08 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Thunder | 65c | 6,247$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.4 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 64c | 6,143$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Thunder | 20c | 6,000$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,794.89 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 5,817$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.65 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 70c | 5,636$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Grizzlies | 18c | 5,474$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.99 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Thunder | 66c | 5,473$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.74 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Thunder | 16c | 5,344$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.59 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 22c | 5,272$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.12 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Thunder | 63c | 5,200$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.95 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Thunder | 24c | 5,096$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.66 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.01 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Thunder | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Thunder | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Thunder | 63c | 5,000$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.49 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Grizzlies | 80c | 4,996$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.75 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Thunder | 20c | 4,888$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.4 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ae…aa53backed Thunder | 14c | 4,881$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,207.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +624.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies | 67c | 4,799$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.12 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Thunder | 26c | 4,497$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.89 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 4,340$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a0…dd1dbacked Grizzlies | 78c | 4,295$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 31c | 4,231$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…3a8abacked Grizzlies | 72c | 4,198$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.02 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…f102backed Thunder | 64c | 4,190$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…9ff6backed Thunder | 15c | 4,081$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.55 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…6e2cbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 4,039$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.54 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 38c | 3,998$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.13 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Grizzlies | 41c | 3,628$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked Thunder | 11c | 3,588$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.37 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 35c | 3,400$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.29 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Thunder | 64c | 3,322$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.92 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…e0cabacked Grizzlies | 78c | 3,309$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Grizzlies | 41c | 3,306$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.43 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Thunder | 62c | 3,250$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Grizzlies | 79c | 3,240$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.4 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Grizzlies | 20c | 3,128$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.8 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Thunder | 51c | 3,103$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.79 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 65c | 3,100$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Grizzlies | 32c | 3,100$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.33 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Thunder | 14c | 3,052$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.68 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Thunder | 15c | 3,000$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.24 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Grizzlies | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Thunder | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Grizzlies | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Grizzlies | 36c | 2,951$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.04 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Thunder | 64c | 2,947$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.38 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Thunder | 66c | 2,909$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.09 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 30c | 2,906$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.