NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2501bf1f19bec9a883fc44866cd1ce55f43b8e89e77d2a584ddfb7e8069675b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 23,908$11,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,852.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 4,690$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.7 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 50c | 4,516$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.27 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Over | 51c | 4,490$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 53c | 3,780$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.28 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,093$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.6 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 48c | 1,908$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.33 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 745$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 52c | 692$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.12 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 685.34$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Under | 49c | 500$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 431.36$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.62 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 408.15$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.27 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 408.08$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.75 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 326$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 51c | 325.42$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 43c | 238.78$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 140.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 56c | 124.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 48c | 116.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 50c | 99.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…fcb5backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 93.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 47c | 89.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 75.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 47c | 74.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 74.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 48c | 51.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Over | 24c | 49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 42.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 53c | 41.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5701…e344backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Over | 49c | 37.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Under | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Over | 53c | 26.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5this page
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Thunder vs. GrizzliesThunder won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.