NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c193f0659d31dfba3f8287fecb65062c5a018c1e260cb90ccafaeda56880ce1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Thunder, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Grizzlies | 48c | 22,000$10,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,349.95 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 52c | 15,511$8,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,113.65 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 51c | 10,606$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,424.52 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 52c | 6,425$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 3,909$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.76 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies | 51c | 3,888$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.59 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Thunder | 53c | 2,452$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.08 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Grizzlies | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Thunder | 55c | 1,654$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.95 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 45c | 1,113$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.19 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,058$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.1 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Thunder | 53c | 896.99$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.09 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 797.9$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.11 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 62c | 786.76$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Thunder | 50c | 771.4$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.7 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…aa74backed Grizzlies | 51c | 664$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…cf55backed Thunder | 50c | 664$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Grizzlies | 48c | 599.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Thunder | 51c | 589.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 262 | 50.4%132 W · 130 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bde…2b4dbacked Thunder | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Thunder | 52c | 584.67$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.03 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 539.64$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 51c | 421.45$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.94 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Thunder | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Thunder | 55c | 389.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 3c | 382$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Grizzlies | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Grizzlies | 46c | 267.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.37 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 46c | 255.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 10c | 245.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 217.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 51c | 217.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Grizzlies | 45c | 179.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Thunder | 56c | 177.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Thunder | 43c | 167.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Thunder | 54c | 159$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Grizzlies | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Thunder | 53c | 140.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce28…51bfbacked Thunder | 51c | 109.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Grizzlies | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Grizzlies | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Thunder | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Grizzlies | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Thunder | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Grizzlies | 48c | 97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Thunder | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…d4e2backed Thunder | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Grizzlies | 68c | 89.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Thunder | 50c | 82.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Thunder | 53c | 80.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Thunder | 54c | 58.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Grizzlies | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb298…c5a4backed Thunder | 51c | 51.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 51.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…88e1backed Grizzlies | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…b601backed Thunder | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Grizzlies | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…c291backed Thunder | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Thunder | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 324 | 55.9%181 W · 143 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Grizzlies | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5701…e344backed Grizzlies | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3907…c3cdbacked Thunder | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Grizzlies | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…5103backed Thunder | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…855bbacked Thunder | 51c | 29.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc9…9813backed Grizzlies | 50c | 28.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07c3…5fbebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 26.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Grizzlies | 47c | 26.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 26.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 44c | 26.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…0454backed Grizzlies | 50c | 25.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +64%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…eb72backed Grizzlies | 50c | 25.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Grizzlies | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…2556backed Thunder | 51c | 23.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…14fbbacked Thunder | 51c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…2534backed Grizzlies | 50c | 20.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…ec0ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Thunder | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Grizzlies won
- Thunder vs. GrizzliesThunder won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.