Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf771089e1c9602abc8582dabcd470742cdb053ebba2aa6027b5903a1d774babf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $943,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,126,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $943,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcec3…b76dbacked Yes | 50c | 215,759$106,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,793.51 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 194,176$98,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,532.03 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 52c | 70,077$36,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,439.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 48c | 59,500$28,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,844.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef9…2d16backed Yes | 46c | 35,399$16,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,091.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 31,977$16,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,855.38 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 50c | 30,000$15,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,149.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 54c | 24,069$12,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,928.49 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 50c | 20,949$10,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,464.98 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 18,376$10,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,181.79 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 17,294$7,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,984.76 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 44c | 13,882$6,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,808.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 50c | 13,825$6,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,912.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 13,782$6,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,045.14 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 50c | 12,000$6,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,059.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 51c | 10,674$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.61 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 48c | 9,867$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,131.1 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 9,817$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.66 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 9,694$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940.71 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 53c | 8,500$4,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.94 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Yes | 50c | 8,124$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 7,911$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.78 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Yes | 52c | 7,676$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 58c | 7,400$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.91 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 7,357$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.73 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 52c | 6,705$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 46c | 5,101$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.26 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 42c | 5,100$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.05 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 50c | 4,813$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.64 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 4,690$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.82 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 49c | 3,980$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.58 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 55c | 3,951$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.87 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe204…e90bbacked No | 54c | 3,777$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed No | 52c | 3,342$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 53c | 3,306$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.75 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 49c | 3,295$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.31 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 15c | 2,796$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.39 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 52c | 2,664$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 52c | 2,533$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.2 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 2,384$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.2 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 15c | 2,368$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.07 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,340$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.84 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 43c | 2,204$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.18 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 47c | 2,089$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.7 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,078$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 51c | 2,036$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.96 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Yes | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 43c | 1,804$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.21 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 1,532$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.01 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 30c | 1,488$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.6 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,392$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.04 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 1c | 1,345$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…d21bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,265$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 51c | 1,221$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.47 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Yes | 75c | 1,199$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 51c | 1,123$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.59 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 1,101$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Yes | 42c | 1,050$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 48c | 1,047$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.11 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.69 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Yes | 44c | 999.99$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 40c | 992.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 48c | 928.4$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.26 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 50c | 840$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed No | 68c | 829.98$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.18 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 827.08$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.08 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 42c | 807.09$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 46c | 787.52$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.55 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?No won
- Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.