TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,771 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd661…6e34backed Yes33c15,214$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes50c13,620$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c12,157$6,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,464.873,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c12,060$6,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,317.3535942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c9,785$6,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes32c8,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.994656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes33c6,403$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.211,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes41c3,624$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.9129343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3608…b13dbacked Yes33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.93036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes42c2,700$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed No68c2,340$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.8366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes9c2,206$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2936939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed No68c2,172$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.143943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes32c1,887$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.316833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd289…079fbacked Yes13c1,781$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No69c1,671$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.2817338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.9222421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes22c1,266$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.438855.7%49 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes37c1,045$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3822450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes35c1,005$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.42152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5408321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes43c995.35$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4283171%22 W · 9 L+7.1wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+56.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No78c957.33$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7418438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004841.7%20 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes32c786.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8410748.6%52 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes31c770$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.74353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9178…534ebacked No69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…4553backed Yes69c720.94$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Yes49c718.02$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No63c662.43$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No60c519$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7945039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3356…92c2backed Yes38c500$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c12…8e4fbacked Yes33c499.79$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes44c481.66$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9313953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No64c480.93$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.325530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No67c473$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.092729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb345…90d7backed Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c437.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes31c424$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.445334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…bc89backed Yes31c391.45$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7003…684bbacked Yes68c344.93$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2344136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes14c343.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810838%41 W · 67 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012441.9%52 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No64c258.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.959845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No66c258.67$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0516841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No74c229.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes33c228.03$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.253737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Yes42c216.45$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No67c212.64$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.171457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes32c203.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes32c203.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Yes8c199.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked No59c199.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.411338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed No49c196.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c195.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.941,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes14c190$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.62133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes33c185.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1cafbacked Yes13c180$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.981656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes11c173.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1323736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes31c172$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.321520%3 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203225%8 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No74c153.37$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.941,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509463.8%60 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.567354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…af0ebacked Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes32c149.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes29c143.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.632,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Yes49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No65c138$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.35040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No56c131.08$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.123056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes9c131$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Yes36c131$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.53825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc6…4690backed No63c123$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.512832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Yes60c121.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.66418.8%12 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes22c119.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.393426.5%9 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc238…9164backed Yes11c112.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked No68c108$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.561080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9887651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No68c101.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.364264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes23c100.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2318128.2%51 W · 130 L+0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe0…e3e0backed No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a7…9064backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215128.5%43 W · 108 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3c…19c2backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes47c99.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.094247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3493…47bcbacked Yes36c97.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1470%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2316…b824backed Yes32c96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.72333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes30c95.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7420227.2%55 W · 147 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb1…fa48backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c3a…8369backed Yes20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc48…2427backed Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.