Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x661602e7960710884ee6112f538e0a5b153133341f9ef534959badefcc9ee72f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Musetti, Rublev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Musetti | 64c | 42,164$27,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,122.73 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…fdffbacked Rublev | 59c | 14,295$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Musetti | 45c | 12,702$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,046.18 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Rublev | 62c | 11,274$6,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,964.46 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Rublev | 51c | 9,285$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,757.95 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Musetti | 54c | 7,558$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.35 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Rublev | 49c | 6,729$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.39 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Rublev | 52c | 6,696$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.84 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Musetti | 50c | 6,343$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,169.92 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Rublev | 51c | 6,332$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Musetti | 28c | 6,267$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,531.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…c8b7backed Musetti | 51c | 6,210$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Musetti | 50c | 6,004$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.07 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Musetti | 38c | 5,681$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.03 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Rublev | 6c | 5,449$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.94 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rublev | 42c | 5,407$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Musetti | 49c | 5,101$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.89 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Musetti | 64c | 4,926$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.13 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Musetti | 55c | 3,664$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.29 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Musetti | 53c | 3,406$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.41 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Musetti | 51c | 3,235$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.29 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rublev | 47c | 3,163$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Rublev | 74c | 3,047$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.91 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Musetti | 56c | 3,020$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.29 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rublev | 63c | 2,751$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.38 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Rublev | 22c | 2,641$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.45 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Musetti | 56c | 2,490$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.6 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Musetti | 33c | 2,244$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.34 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Rublev | 52c | 2,203$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.54 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Rublev | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Musetti | 48c | 2,039$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.7 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Rublev | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Rublev | 49c | 1,975$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.38 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Musetti | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536c…b7d6backed Rublev | 2c | 1,885$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rublev | 40c | 1,882$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.95 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Rublev | 45c | 1,866$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.32 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rublev | 39c | 1,785$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.37 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Musetti | 50c | 1,712$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.8 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Musetti | 55c | 1,546$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.64 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Musetti | 45c | 1,508$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.97 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rublev | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Rublev | 52c | 1,491$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Musetti | 28c | 1,415$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.9 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Musetti | 35c | 1,409$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.29 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Rublev | 48c | 1,301$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.12 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Rublev | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Rublev | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Musetti | 51c | 1,200$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Musetti | 50c | 1,024$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.63 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Rublev | 46c | 1,009$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.24 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Musetti | 60c | 1,007$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Musetti | 48c | 1,000$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.06 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Rublev | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…892cbacked Rublev | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Rublev | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Rublev | 7c | 949.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Musetti | 40c | 910.75$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.96 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Musetti | 47c | 895.79$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.54 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked Rublev | 71c | 856.58$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…81bcbacked Musetti | 28c | 852.9$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…670bbacked Musetti | 42c | 835.37$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.37 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Rublev | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Rublev | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Rublev | 56c | 793.46$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.83 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rublev | 47c | 780$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.6 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rublev | 38c | 689.72$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Rublev | 50c | 668$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Rublev | 33c | 649.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Musetti | 33c | 636.03$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.28 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Musetti | 56c | 619.55$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.31 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Musetti | 49c | 615.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.22 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Musetti | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…3e23backed Rublev | 64c | 600$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Rublev | 50c | 599.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Musetti | 56c | 579.71$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.7 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Musetti | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Rublev | 47c | 573.74$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.66 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Rublev | 59c | 553.87$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.69 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Musetti | 76c | 528.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Musetti | 34c | 509.3$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.52 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…c4b1backed Rublev | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +325.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Musetti | 59c | 499.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Musetti | 51c | 493.43$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.86 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Musetti | 38c | 490.47$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.03 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Rublev | 49c | 482.47$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.47 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Rublev | 72c | 444.44$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rublev | 48c | 441.1$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.94 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Musetti | 37c | 440.4$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.09 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…12a6backed Musetti | 74c | 440$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…7102backed Rublev | 44c | 426.64$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Musetti | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Musetti | 45c | 419$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rublev | 48c | 409.06$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…1fcabacked Rublev | 72c | 408.58$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Rublev | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Rublev | 48c | 407.11$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rublev | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Rublev | 44c | 395.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Rublev | 63c | 393.46$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.56 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevthis page
- Musetti vs. Rublev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Musetti vs. Rublev: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Musetti vs. Rublev: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Musetti vs. Rublev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Musetti vs. Rublev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Musetti vs. Rublev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.