Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bca1c0885ae67301029c304d2c97cfdc6878c8489369106e163285020de3f15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 54c | 25,076$13,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,506.87 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 17,032$7,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,693.87 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 11,532$6,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.18 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 7,332$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.14 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 5,718$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.51 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 47c | 3,884$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 2,906$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.98 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 2,532$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.37 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 2,278$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.83 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 47c | 1,889$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 47c | 1,762$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 47c | 1,366$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Over | 48c | 1,263$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Under | 19c | 1,240$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 52c | 576.16$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 556.95$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.95 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 54c | 556.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.72 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 49c | 526.56$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 47c | 378.25$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 327$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 22c | 290.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 53c | 284.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 57c | 272.29$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 49c | 234.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 54c | 201.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 46c | 195$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Under | 47c | 147.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…14bfbacked Under | 49c | 145.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 113.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 37c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 54c | 108.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…5ee8backed Under | 47c | 101.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Over | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Under | 48c | 93.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…ffb3backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 48c | 83.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 52c | 52.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 51c | 51.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Over | 48c | 46.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Over | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 46c | 42.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…f1eebacked Under | 49c | 41.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Under | 49c | 40.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Over | 53c | 40.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…1c24backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x121a…91b7backed Under | 49c | 31.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Over | 52c | 28.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 64c | 24.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 47c | 23.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.