Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0377871b43549065973cd741a635b13b2046062c82df75b1ea57f42e1d095b82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,708$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.81 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 46c | 509.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 46c | 431.11$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 53c | 299.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.97 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 61c | 263.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 54c | 211.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 171.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 157.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 53c | 147$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 47c | 54.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 55c | 29.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed No | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked No | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked No | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed No | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked No | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 57c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.