Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x937bf2ae42214f6d4a2a4d9571da7c7e4e7c01cf45d085dc59067c2c8248d9cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 2,793$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.86 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 80c | 1,252$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.41 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 551.57$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 17c | 339.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 76c | 176$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 76c | 158$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 76c | 122$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Over | 76c | 114$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 76c | 103$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9e97backed Over | 79c | 87.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Over | 76c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…51ecbacked Under | 25c | 74.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 76c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed Over | 79c | 67.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 75c | 60.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 76c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…6f8abacked Over | 78c | 51.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849d…29ecbacked Over | 78c | 50.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…00eabacked Over | 77c | 48.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Over | 73c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.