Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aab1707d19518008954e7dd7dc0b63c91b1ded5ce1e9294a077d813c0e9b600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 47c | 3,676$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,041$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.3 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…1316backed Under | 71c | 1,962$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 940.51$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 50c | 794.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked Under | 75c | 619$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Over | 55c | 581.74$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 460.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.52 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 23c | 419.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 73c | 399.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 37c | 269.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64f…29b4backed Under | 70c | 265$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 258.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 69c | 250.63$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Under | 71c | 208.1$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…6129backed Over | 30c | 205$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…bd8abacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…ee8ebacked Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 192.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Over | 21c | 191.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 68c | 185.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 69c | 165$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 159.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 31c | 158.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 56c | 143.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 69c | 139$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 43c | 138.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2507…d5f2backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 69c | 123$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Over | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 110.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 27c | 86.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 84.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 69c | 82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 41c | 79.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 28c | 64.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 63.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 69c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 70c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…f12ebacked Under | 73c | 54.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 58c | 51.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…70a1backed Over | 30c | 49.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…502dbacked Over | 64c | 44.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…423ebacked Over | 53c | 43.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Under | 60c | 39.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…61bcbacked Over | 38c | 39.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 76c | 36.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Over | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Over | 73c | 31.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…0814backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.