NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdec2ddea47d62704734facbe857fdcaa1fc85f0d0c5976678c9a4dd4918b086
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 50,418$25,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,690.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 14,715$7,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,544.44 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Over | 50c | 8,361$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.73 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 6,717$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Under | 47c | 5,344$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 5c | 4,714$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.6 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 4,592$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.84 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 3,095$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.89 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 56c | 2,631$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.39 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 2,432$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.36 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 2,221$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.6 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 53c | 1,839$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.67 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 1c | 1,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 1,230$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.68 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Over | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…9b74backed Under | 1c | 1,071$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Over | 68c | 1,028$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 51c | 954.18$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.55 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 752$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…f1eebacked Under | 2c | 750.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 48c | 720$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 689.16$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 53c | 382.61$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.68 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 18c | 326.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.93 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 16c | 310.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 47c | 290$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 237.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 45c | 204.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 16c | 177.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 50c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…67b1backed Over | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 116.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4016backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 58c | 103.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 36c | 88.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…0c7bbacked Under | 21c | 72.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Over | 64c | 67.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 58.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 42c | 54.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d774backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 317 | 45.4%144 W · 173 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Over | 66c | 29.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 57c | 28.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 49c | 21.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820f…0ddcbacked Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5this page
- Clippers vs. NetsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.