NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f0dfac2d4c14b2a6783d97c3ad0aec7e3610bc6a0e7b34fe6779cf4611b5c23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nets | 48c | 37,500$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Clippers | 52c | 37,500$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Nets | 48c | 9,552$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,584.72 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers | 52c | 7,066$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.49 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers | 51c | 5,092$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 49c | 3,564$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets | 49c | 3,297$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.53 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 62c | 3,171$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nets | 54c | 2,999$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.55 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Clippers | 50c | 2,242$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.1 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nets | 48c | 1,920$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.6 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Clippers | 53c | 1,592$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.09 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Clippers | 18c | 1,166$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.8 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Clippers | 46c | 1,048$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.83 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Nets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 49c | 798$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Nets | 48c | 305.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.87 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nets | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Nets | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Nets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nets | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Nets | 25c | 119.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nets | 24c | 106.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 54c | 90.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Clippers | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 48c | 59.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Nets | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Nets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Clippers | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Nets | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets | 47c | 22.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…9b8abacked Clippers | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…1bfabacked Nets | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)this page
- Clippers vs. NetsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.