NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b09f0b89fd7e220b4122af4824543b7b7bb0c3a97c9aac633d85275b6f3295a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 2,259$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.67 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 1,588$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 54c | 1,384$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.94 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 53c | 1,184$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.48 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 54c | 1,020$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.06 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 44c | 985$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.4 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 56c | 834$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.96 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 830$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 55c | 771.36$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.11 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 767.35$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.68 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 54c | 603.82$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.76 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 466.57$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 55c | 370$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 45c | 196.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 56c | 193.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 188.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 45c | 163.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 73c | 154.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 54c | 132$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 36c | 125.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 54c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 76.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 54c | 75.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 52c | 74.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 44c | 73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 49c | 68.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…c435backed Under | 44c | 56.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c8…b387backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Under | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 37.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 40c | 33.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Under | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Over | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Under | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Under | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d86…112cbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9954…ec72backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 44c | 26.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 212.5this page
- Clippers vs. NetsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 211.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.