NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 211.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83ecd82c8aa2ce7e714e5925e3fc2729418ddf74a1b7b01fc00bbf9755341b8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 2,313$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.99 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 838.26$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 800.9$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.42 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 583.73$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 57c | 542.57$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.22 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 57c | 449.64$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 62c | 322.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 273.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 44c | 201.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 55c | 201.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 59c | 169.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 160$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 57c | 126$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 41c | 119.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 57c | 94.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…2542backed Over | 58c | 85.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Over | 57c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 43c | 80.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 42c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 58c | 60.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 40c | 59.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 30c | 55.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 41c | 51.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 57c | 35.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Under | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Under | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b2…5f92backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…0c7ebacked Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…0cc9backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Under | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Under | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 59c | 23.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Over | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 211.5this page
- Clippers vs. NetsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-6.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.