Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Team Sangre (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0582d0d8660e7c5684475c8ad4436a341d6985f22069f8e699c1aa92e244d523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perú Rejectsof Perú Rejects, Team Sangre
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Team Sangre | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Sangre | 12c | 2,514$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Perú Rejects | 80c | 1,726$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.44 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Sangre | 18c | 1,114$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Perú Rejects | 72c | 915.94$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.19 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Team Sangre | 19c | 783.37$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Team Sangre | 36c | 749.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.92 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Perú Rejects | 65c | 699.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Team Sangre | 18c | 667.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Sangre | 7c | 658.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Perú Rejects | 70c | 643.8$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Team Sangre | 35c | 607.56$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Perú Rejects | 72c | 587$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Perú Rejects | 58c | 464.63$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Sangre | 24c | 350.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Sangre | 23c | 305.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Sangre | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Team Sangre | 13c | 276.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Team Sangre | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Perú Rejects | 78c | 230.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Perú Rejects | 65c | 200.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…304dbacked Team Sangre | 36c | 176.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…f1eebacked Team Sangre | 16c | 173.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24c…69d5backed Perú Rejects | 64c | 158.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Team Sangre | 22c | 153.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Team Sangre | 33c | 150.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Team Sangre | 16c | 138.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Perú Rejects | 67c | 132$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Perú Rejects | 71c | 124.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Team Sangre | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Sangre | 35c | 111.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Perú Rejects | 72c | 111$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d9…e56dbacked Team Sangre | 16c | 106.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Team Sangre | 31c | 106$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Perú Rejects | 69c | 101.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Team Sangre | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Sangre | 22c | 90.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed Perú Rejects | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…a71dbacked Perú Rejects | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Team Sangre | 24c | 73.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Team Sangre | 27c | 72.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Perú Rejects | 75c | 68.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Perú Rejects | 63c | 65.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Team Sangre | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…e9a4backed Perú Rejects | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…07dcbacked Team Sangre | 20c | 52.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Team Sangre | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Perú Rejects | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Perú Rejects | 80c | 46.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Team Sangre | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…e2fcbacked Perú Rejects | 74c | 30.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Perú Rejects | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b2…caa8backed Perú Rejects | 66c | 22.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…99d2backed Perú Rejects | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +177.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked Perú Rejects | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…fd8dbacked Perú Rejects | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Team Sangre (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Team Sangre - Game 1 WinnerPerú Rejects won
- Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Team Sangre - Game 2 WinnerPerú Rejects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.