Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Team Sangre - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82de63e837c563b3728f7bb808cc00e50e508e54bf529c8622e0bf778e04f274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perú Rejectsof Perú Rejects, Team Sangre
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Perú Rejects | 64c | 4,455$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.38 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Sangre | 33c | 3,450$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.5 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Perú Rejects | 64c | 2,434$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.71 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ab…a8b6backed Team Sangre | 42c | 2,085$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Sangre | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069d…0308backed Perú Rejects | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Perú Rejects | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Sangre | 34c | 378.89$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Sangre | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Sangre | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Perú Rejects | 73c | 271.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Sangre | 41c | 236.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Perú Rejects | 70c | 225.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Team Sangre | 40c | 221.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Perú Rejects | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…055bbacked Team Sangre | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Sangre | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Team Sangre | 32c | 119.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Perú Rejects | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Sangre | 32c | 50.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Team Sangre | 41c | 48.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…f1eebacked Team Sangre | 29c | 41.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…8842backed Perú Rejects | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…9229backed Perú Rejects | 65c | 22.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Perú Rejects | 69c | 19.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Team Sangre - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Team Sangre (BO3)Perú Rejects won
- Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Team Sangre - Game 1 WinnerPerú Rejects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.