Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97da9cbdbfcc1cf68ea17fd2ed9b1d42459155d876327cd971ce42483387c9de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Giron, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Giron | 43c | 37,713$16,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,365.41 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giron | 49c | 15,463$7,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,616.2 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Bublik | 42c | 11,988$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,988.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Giron | 53c | 11,054$5,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,826.8 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Bublik | 47c | 8,012$3,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.98 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Bublik | 73c | 7,740$5,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.03 | 642 | 40.2%258 W · 384 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…c8b7backed Bublik | 66c | 6,492$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Giron | 34c | 6,448$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.25 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Bublik | 44c | 5,942$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.51 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Giron | 43c | 5,804$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.4 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Bublik | 38c | 5,773$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Giron | 40c | 5,329$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.54 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giron | 24c | 5,226$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.75 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Bublik | 75c | 5,172$3,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.97 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Giron | 40c | 4,809$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.38 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Bublik | 44c | 4,682$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.98 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f388backed Bublik | 52c | 4,632$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Bublik | 73c | 4,487$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Bublik | 33c | 4,261$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.19 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Giron | 24c | 3,919$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.5 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bublik | 62c | 3,385$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.79 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Giron | 52c | 3,285$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.16 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Bublik | 77c | 3,141$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.38 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Bublik | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Bublik | 55c | 2,839$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Giron | 25c | 2,704$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.04 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Giron | 25c | 2,549$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.28 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Giron | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…670bbacked Bublik | 65c | 2,314$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.77 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Bublik | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.01 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bublik | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 654 | 59%386 W · 268 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Bublik | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Giron | 25c | 1,995$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.75 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Bublik | 51c | 1,947$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.58 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bublik | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.99 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Bublik | 68c | 1,768$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.12 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Giron | 49c | 1,617$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.74 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Bublik | 61c | 1,600$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.16 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…cee8backed Giron | 43c | 1,578$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bublik | 37c | 1,500$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.97 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Giron | 60c | 1,466$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.24 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Giron | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Giron | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…12a6backed Bublik | 55c | 1,392$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…892cbacked Giron | 26c | 1,350$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Giron | 74c | 1,345$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giron | 46c | 1,250$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Bublik | 76c | 1,122$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.37 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Bublik | 66c | 1,119$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.8 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Bublik | 46c | 1,080$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.89 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Bublik | 52c | 1,000$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.09 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Giron | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Giron | 43c | 921.94$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.02 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Giron | 71c | 900$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Giron | 24c | 862.06$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.89 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Giron | 58c | 810.76$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…c10abacked Bublik | 56c | 810.54$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Bublik | 35c | 799.95$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.96 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Giron | 38c | 795.49$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.29 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Bublik | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Bublik | 61c | 773.61$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.95 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bublik | 73c | 755.13$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Bublik | 42c | 714.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.4 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Giron | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Bublik | 76c | 693.55$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 232 | 71.1%165 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Bublik | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Bublik | 52c | 680.05$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.11 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Bublik | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Bublik | 65c | 666.34$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.15 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Giron | 9c | 663.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Giron | 39c | 660.38$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.61 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Bublik | 76c | 636.75$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Giron | 40c | 631.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.35 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Giron | 48c | 628.23$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.78 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Giron | 55c | 620$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.87 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Giron | 29c | 614.26$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Bublik | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Giron | 25c | 595.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Bublik | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Bublik | 65c | 564$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Giron | 9c | 516.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Bublik | 53c | 509.18$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.38 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Bublik | 50c | 503.05$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.89 | 1,151 | 44.4%511 W · 640 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Bublik | 55c | 499.96$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 308 | 55.8%172 W · 136 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Bublik | 45c | 492.48$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Bublik | 35c | 489.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.49 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Bublik | 52c | 480.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Giron | 21c | 470$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Bublik | 48c | 467.58$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.29 | 137 | 63.5%87 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Bublik | 43c | 466.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Giron | 43c | 452$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…8b17backed Giron | 54c | 449.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Bublik | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Bublik | 37c | 399.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.98 | 318 | 50.3%160 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Giron | 41c | 381.19$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Bublik | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…9a38backed Bublik | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Bublik | 54c | 359.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.87 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Bublik | 43c | 350.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Giron | 46c | 346.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.65 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikthis page
- Giron vs. Bublik: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Giron vs. Bublik: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.