NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08cd18173d4992317348c1e3d0ccb172c4f3e07b6263418885f8c97ed5d76e58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $622,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $636,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $622,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 177,988$58,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,550.92 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Avalanche | 67c | 74,881$50,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,170.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 45,726$15,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,636.15 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Avalanche | 67c | 37,500$25,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,125 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche | 62c | 21,145$13,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,136.82 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 70c | 20,810$14,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,516.76 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Avalanche | 56c | 16,516$9,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,224.56 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Avalanche | 68c | 15,800$10,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,744 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Avalanche | 67c | 15,250$10,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,217.5 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Avalanche | 67c | 11,597$7,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,770 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Avalanche | 65c | 10,884$7,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,069.06 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 10,765$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,095.38 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche | 67c | 10,512$7,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,043.08 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Avalanche | 77c | 10,167$7,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,831.15 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 8,973$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.3 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 8,707$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.84 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…73dabacked Avalanche | 67c | 7,643$5,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 30c | 7,500$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277.07 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 7,495$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.58 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Avalanche | 67c | 7,490$5,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,018.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 31c | 6,500$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.03 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Maple Leafs | 11c | 6,404$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,707.17 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Avalanche | 67c | 6,400$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,288 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 6,182$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.37 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ad…bcdabacked Avalanche | 66c | 6,011$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.94 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Avalanche | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 5,694$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.66 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 5,576$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.18 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 5,547$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.44 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Avalanche | 67c | 5,239$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche | 66c | 5,210$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.22 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Avalanche | 69c | 5,072$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 66c | 5,032$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.36 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Avalanche | 69c | 4,922$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 4,893$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.19 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Avalanche | 66c | 4,748$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.48 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Avalanche | 49c | 4,500$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.97 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 4,437$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.62 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 4,182$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.56 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Avalanche | 67c | 4,006$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.02 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 4,005$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.77 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Avalanche | 67c | 3,645$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Avalanche | 68c | 3,555$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.38 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 71c | 3,536$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.44 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 3,446$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.79 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche | 65c | 3,316$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.98 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Avalanche | 61c | 3,295$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Avalanche | 67c | 3,200$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Avalanche | 76c | 3,150$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche | 67c | 3,050$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.5 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 3,043$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.1 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Avalanche | 69c | 3,042$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Avalanche | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 3,000$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.37 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Avalanche | 67c | 2,958$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…765cbacked Maple Leafs | 30c | 2,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 2,642$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.74 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 2,600$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 2,569$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.57 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,547$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.31 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Avalanche | 67c | 2,405$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.35 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Avalanche | 5c | 2,300$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Avalanche | 52c | 2,295$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.52 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Avalanche | 56c | 2,291$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.35 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 2,221$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.05 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Avalanche | 71c | 2,204$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.48 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 2,203$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.47 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Avalanche | 67c | 2,173$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.87 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 62c | 2,046$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.87 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Avalanche | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Avalanche | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.98 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…ce62backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,980$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,977$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Avalanche | 66c | 1,966$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,949$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,936$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.76 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.71 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Avalanche | 70c | 1,759$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.01 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,650$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.5 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,632$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.95 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Avalanche | 67c | 1,597$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche | 69c | 1,519$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.71 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…8550backed Avalanche | 69c | 1,507$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,501$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.67 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Avalanche | 76c | 1,500$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,500$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Avalanche | 67c | 1,499$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d25…1addbacked Maple Leafs | 31c | 1,496$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Avalanche | 67c | 1,494$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b0…df60backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,492$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…37e7backed Avalanche | 69c | 1,490$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Avalanche | 69c | 1,486$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Avalanche | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchethis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.